If voting trends have any link to political optics, congressional Democrats will be swept out with the tide in 2022.
During the run-up to the 2020 elections, candidates attracted independent voters by hitching their wagon to Joe Biden’s campaign centered on regaining the “soul” of America, “unity,” and the restoration of civility. With the country more divided than any time since the Civil War, the White House has dragged the country into a dark place.
Former allies are outraged by the Afghanistan debacle that put their citizen at the mercy of the Taliban. On the home front, people no longer trust the federal government enough to take the vaccine, inflation surges, and the U.S. Supreme Court had to force Joe Biden to reinstate former President Donald Trump’s “Remain in Mexico” policy to restore some semblance of border control. Having placed their political future in the hands of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, even far-left media outlets are calling for Democrats to “write-off” 2022 because all hope of maintaining a House majority is lost.
“Barring something beyond anyone’s control, it is extremely unlikely that Democrats will hold onto the House, and thus their trifecta, in 2022. The simple reality is that no president with job-approval ratings south of 60 percent has ever had a first midterm in which his party failed to lose House seats,” The Intelligencer reportedly stated. “In 2022, the burden of history will be augmented by Republican gains via redistricting. In part due to partisan polarization, the odds of Biden, whose own approval ratings have now slumped down into the 40s, reaching the 60s any time soon are vanishingly small.”
Washington, D.C., leaks indicate that Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi appears poised to retire if Democrats get crushed in the 2022 elections. She promised to serve one last term, two terms ago, until the left held on to a razor-thin majority. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy recently compared the left’s fate in the House to a catastrophic weather event.
“(Democrats) going to get beat up, Congress is not that great. They’ve got new lines where they have to go meet new people, and they’re still going to have the White House,” he said. “They’re going to make a decision to retire, that’s the best time, so they can go get another job. When we get that retirement number up higher, into double-digit figures, the whole thing becomes a different play. This cycle is like the 100-year storm. You look at the issue set of where the public is at — crime, inflation, wokeism, the border — all of those the Democrats have to play defense. Republicans don’t have to play defense at all.”
Although Democrats are desperately trying to pass a $3.5 trillion spending package that will funnel money to their campaign contributors, voters are focused on the Democrat in the Oval Office’s inability to effectively lead. Incumbents and upstarts won’t be able to remove the stink of the Afghanistan debacle from the Democrat brand before the 2022 elections — if ever. Midterm elections have historically favored the party not holding the White House. This time, everyday people feel like the White House and liberal elites are holding America hostage.